Why Sept. 10 is the day most likely to have a tropical storm

Why Sept. 10 is the day most likely to have a tropical storm

We’re almost smack dab in the middle of the 2020 hurricane season, with Sept. 10 being the climatological peak — the day most likely to have a tropical storm in the Atlantic basin, according to a report.

Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane research scientist at Colorado State University, told Fox News that about 75 percent of Atlantic seasons in the satellite era since 1966 have had at least one named storm on this date.

And roughly half of those years have had at least one hurricane on Sept. 10.

Fortunately, none of the storm activity currently brewing in the Atlantic basin is directly affecting the US, according to Fox News.

On Thursday morning, the US National Hurricane Center in Miami reported that Tropical Storm Rene is gaining strength as it moves across the eastern Atlantic with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.

It is expected to become a hurricane by Friday night over the open ocean and eventually peter out.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Paulette is packing winds of 60 mph as it moves west-northwest about 935 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands in the Caribbean, according to the NHC.

The system could strengthen into a hurricane by the time it reaches Bermuda over the weekend, Fox News reported, citing the NHC, which is also monitoring several other areas for development in the Atlantic.

The reason September is the most active of the six months that make up the hurricane season comes down to wind and water temperature, the network reported.

When wind shear is strong, potential storms may be weakened — and generally those winds are stronger in the spring before gradually weakening during the summer, allowing storms to develop and grow.

In addition, tropical storms need warm water of at least 80 degrees or so to develop and sustain themselves, according to Fox News, which noted that water temperatures have peaked across most of the Atlantic.

Forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predict up to 25 named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher, according to Fox News.

Of those, seven to 10 could become hurricanes, including as many as six major ones with winds of 111 mph or higher.

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