Welcome back to the Next Gen Advantage, where each week we dive deep into the advanced statistics created through NFL Next Gen Stats player-tracking data to find little edges for fantasy managers. This week, we’re diving into Week 17 route type vs. coverage type mismatches, plus some blocking up matchups in the ground game. Hopefully, it’ll be just the little push you need in what is, for many, the fantasy championship.
Route type vs. coverage
Some routes are more productive against certain coverages. Sometimes, that difference can be large! The idea in this section is to look at the routes receivers run and the coverages their upcoming opponent runs on defense to see who is expected to gain a schematic edge. Tallied altogether, the advantages on a week-to-week basis are small. But if you’ve got a tough start/sit call or you’re trying to settle an internal DFS debate, this is certainly worth a look to nudge you in one direction or another.
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